Atmosfera 2-2 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 26%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.13/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.03
-33% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Hegelmann II 1-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
31.08.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
2-2
AWAY Hegelmann II
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera and Hegelmann II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atmosfera had 51% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 49%, shots finished 22-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atmosfera had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atmosfera and 1.00 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II?

Atmosfera 2-2 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 45%, draw 27%, Hegelmann II 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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