Ekranas 1-4 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.31/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.18/1.35
-8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
02.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
16.06.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 2-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
07.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
20.03.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekranas
1-4
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II ran out comfortable winners over Ekranas 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Kauno Zalgiris II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Ekranas had 62% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 38%, shots finished 23-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ekranas and 1.20 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Ekranas 1-4 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 36%, draw 24%, Kauno Zalgiris II 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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