Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.6pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.5pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.27/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.87
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Minija
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.03.2025 Minija Minija 0-4 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
20.09.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
03.05.2024 Minija Minija 2-2 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
12.08.2023 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
24.03.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
15.10.2022 Minija Minija 1-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
0-1
AWAY Minija
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija nicked a narrow win over Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Neptüna Klaipeda at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Neptüna Klaipeda had 48% of the ball to Minija's 52%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minija led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 1.00 for Minija.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Minija?

Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 55%, draw 28%, Minija 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5
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