Aalesund 1-3 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 15 Mar 2026

Aalesund
1 - 3 HT 1 - 1
Lilleström
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Aalesund vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over Pick
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.46
2-3
42%
1.87
4-5
29%
2.76
6+
11%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.38
1/2
3%
21.8
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
11%
6.87
X/2
14%
5.26
X/X
14%
5.5
2/1
2%
28.0
2/2
28%
2.89
2/X
5%
12.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Aalesund v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aalesund The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.53 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.82
1.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Great
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1

Aalesund vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lilleström
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.98 xG 1.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
235 Passes 440
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Lilleström Lilleström 5-1 HT 2-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
31.03.2025 Aalesund Aalesund 2-2 HT 2-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
03.09.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
19.07.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 5-1 HT 2-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
06.11.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
29.06.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK

Aalesund 1-3 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalesund
1 - 3
AWAY Lilleström
1.24 xG 3.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
312 Passes 489
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Aalesund vs Lilleström
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lilleström had too much for Aalesund 3-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Aalesund had 42% of the ball to Lilleström's 58%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.24 to 3.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aalesund and 2.50 for Lilleström.

Aalesund vs Lilleström Result & Final Score

Aalesund 1 - 3 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aalesund vs Lilleström Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 30%, draw 25%, Lilleström 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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