Valerenga 1-0 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 15 Mar 2026

Valerenga
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Sandefjord
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Valerenga vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.29
Over Pick
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.51
No
38%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.48
2-3
42%
1.87
4-5
30%
2.76
6+
11%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.54
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.83
X/2
9%
7.64
X/X
13%
5.73
2/1 ✗
3%
20.8
2/2
15%
5.12
2/X
5%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 3% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Valerenga v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Valerenga The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
1.19 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2

Valerenga vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.10 xG 1.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
276 Passes 389
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 2-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
11.05.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-1 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.10.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
29.07.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 2-3 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
18.09.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
08.05.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-3 HT 0-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR

Valerenga 1-0 Sandefjord — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
1 - 0
AWAY Sandefjord
1.47 xG 2.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
290 Passes 434
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 35
24 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Valerenga vs Sandefjord
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Valerenga edged past Sandefjord 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Valerenga had 43% of the ball to Sandefjord's 57%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.47 to 2.09 — by the quality of chances, Sandefjord deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Valerenga and 1.33 for Sandefjord.

Valerenga vs Sandefjord Result & Final Score

Valerenga 1 - 0 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Valerenga vs Sandefjord Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 51%, draw 23%, Sandefjord 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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