Tromsö 4-0 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.71
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.68
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.04
6+
5%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.2
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
20%
3.97
X/2
6%
9.53
X/X
16%
4.55
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
8%
8.31
2/X
5%
17.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tromsö The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad The Market 22%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.19 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.85
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.55 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
392 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
29.06.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
29.05.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
25.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
26.10.2014 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
06.04.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
4 - 0
AWAY Fredrikstad
3.43 xG 0.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
411 Passes 563
89% Pass Accuracy 91%
27 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Tromsö vs Fredrikstad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tromsö ran out comfortable winners over Fredrikstad 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring. At 1.69 (~59%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Fredrikstad saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 3.43 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Tromsö against 0.00 for Fredrikstad.

Tromsö vs Fredrikstad Result & Final Score

Tromsö 4 - 0 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tromsö vs Fredrikstad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 60%, draw 25%, Fredrikstad 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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