Gornik Zabrze 3-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.52
2-3
48%
1.7
4-5
19%
4.13
6+
4%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.37
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.95
X/2
12%
6.06
X/X
19%
4.09
2/1
3%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.6
2/X
5%
14.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gornik Zabrze The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa The Market 34%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
Average Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 1.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
309 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
21.02.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
18.08.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
19.04.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
22.10.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
18.02.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3 - 1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.70 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
253 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 23
REVIEW Gornik Zabrze vs Rakow Czestochowa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gornik Zabrze took care of Rakow Czestochowa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gornik Zabrze found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Gornik Zabrze had 43% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 57%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.70 to 1.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rakow Czestochowa.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.67 for Rakow Czestochowa.

Gornik Zabrze vs Rakow Czestochowa Result & Final Score

Gornik Zabrze 3 - 1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gornik Zabrze vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 40%, draw 29%, Rakow Czestochowa 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Under 2.5
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