Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Mar 2026

Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Lech Poznan
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.15
Over
56%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.96
2-3
45%
1.8
4-5
26%
2.86
6+
8%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.81
1/2
4%
22.25
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
9%
8.3
X/2
16%
4.83
X/X
14%
5.11
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.48
2/X
6%
12.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Zaglebie Lubin v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Zaglebie Lubin The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan The Market 53%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.78
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
271 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.09.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
23.02.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-1 HT 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
17.08.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
10.02.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
06.08.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
19.02.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL

Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 1
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.56 xG 2.10
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
192 Passes 425
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lech Poznan edged past Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 on their travels.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, Lech Poznan saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.56 to 2.10 — on chances created, Lech Poznan won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Zaglebie Lubin against 1.50 for Lech Poznan.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan Result & Final Score

Zaglebie Lubin 0 - 1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 25%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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