UCV 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.75
Over
49%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME UCV The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
1.05 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
251 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
15.02.2025 UCV UCV 2-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
15.09.2024 UCV UCV 3-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.03.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
23.07.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
22.04.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1 - 1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.16 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
310 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW UCV vs Estudiantes De Merida
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left UCV and Estudiantes De Merida with a point apiece.

A gentle 50% lean on UCV didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.75, about 57%.

Under the surface, UCV had 54% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 46%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UCV and 1.00 for Estudiantes De Merida.

UCV vs Estudiantes De Merida Result & Final Score

UCV 1 - 1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

UCV vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UCV 50%, draw 27%, Estudiantes De Merida 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UCV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
15 Mar 2026
01:30 Portuguesa FC vs Caracas FC Analysis →
02:30 Monagas vs Academia Anzoátegui Analysis →