Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.86
Over
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No Pick
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.11
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.49
6+
8%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.11 — our 33% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.5pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 16%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.59/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.49
-14% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
12.04.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
04.01.2025 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
27.01.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-1 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
12.08.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare swept aside Tonbridge Angels 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.00 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 52%, draw 30%, Tonbridge Angels 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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