Salford City 1-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.41
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.25
6+
12%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 24% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.5
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
7%
6.54
X/2
15%
5.24
X/X
9%
4.91
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
25%
3.19
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.08/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.03
-14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.1 Crosses 20.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 230
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
13.08.2024 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNLK
13.02.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
24.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
18.03.2023 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
20.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.78 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
241 Passes 196
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City and Doncaster Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Salford City had 54% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 46%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.78 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salford City and 1.33 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Salford City 1-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Salford City 29%, draw 25%, Doncaster Rovers 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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