Belouizdad 1-0 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.47
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.52
Over
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.18
2-3
45%
1.76
4-5
21%
5.17
6+
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Belouizdad win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-12.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+12.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.6pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.54/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
+98% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY El Bayadh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 El Bayadh El Bayadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
12.10.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 2-3 HT 2-2 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
26.05.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
04.02.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-1 HT 2-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
06.06.2023 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-3 HT 1-1 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
05.11.2022 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belouizdad
1-0
AWAY El Bayadh
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belouizdad squeezed past El Bayadh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belouizdad as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Belouizdad had 55% of the ball to El Bayadh's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belouizdad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Belouizdad and 1.00 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs El Bayadh?

Belouizdad 1-0 El Bayadh in the Algeria - National Cup on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 63%, draw 21%, El Bayadh 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belouizdad), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✓ BTTS No
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