Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hamrun Spartans v Gzira United — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Gzira United — Actual Match Statistics
Gzira United nicked a narrow win over Hamrun Spartans 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hamrun Spartans at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 52% of the ball to Gzira United's 48%, shots finished 5-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.50 for Gzira United.
Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United Result & Final Score
Hamrun Spartans 0 - 1 Gzira United in the MALTP on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 70%, draw 18%, Gzira United 12%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.