Al Nassr 1-0 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 Apr 2026

Al Nassr
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Al Ettifaq
📅15/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
86%
1.18
Draw
7%
7.13
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
61%
1/2
1%
1/X
1%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
1%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Al Nassr v Al Ettifaq — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Nassr The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq The Market 11%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
0.83 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.26
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
479 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 77%
36 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.02 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
515 Passes 309
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2025 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
21.02.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
20.09.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.12.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SAKK
14.08.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD

Al Nassr 1-0 Al Ettifaq — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
1 - 0
AWAY Al Ettifaq
3.46 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
380 Passes 285
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Nassr squeezed past Al Ettifaq 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Al Nassr had 56% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 44%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.46 to 1.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nassr and 1.33 for Al Ettifaq.

Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq Result & Final Score

Al Nassr 1 - 0 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 86%, draw 7%, Al Ettifaq 7%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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