Norrköping 1-2 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 May 2025

Norrköping
1-2 HT 0-0
Degerfors
📅15/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Norrköping vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.42/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.36
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +61%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.4 Crosses 20.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Norrköping vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Degerfors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
08.05.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 0-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
06.08.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
09.07.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
28.11.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 4-1 HT 4-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
13.05.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ

Norrköping 1-2 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-2
AWAY Degerfors
1.40 xG 1.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
469 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 25
31 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors nicked a narrow win over Norrköping 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Degerfors found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Norrköping had 64% of the ball to Degerfors's 36%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.40 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Norrköping and 1.00 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Degerfors?

Norrköping 1-2 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 40%, draw 24%, Degerfors 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norrköping) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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