Djurgarden 1-3 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.36/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.19
-29% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.9 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
399 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
25.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-3 HT 0-2 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
21.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.11.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
10.04.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
1-3
AWAY Mjallby
0.77 xG 3.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
430 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 39
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby saw off Djurgarden 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mjallby found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Djurgarden had 54% of the ball to Mjallby's 46%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.77 to 3.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Djurgarden and 0.67 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Mjallby?

Djurgarden 1-3 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 37%, draw 24%, Mjallby 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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