Elfsborg 4-3 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.87
2-3 Goals
44%
1.98
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
4.95
X/2
12%
7.92
X/X
12%
5.85
2/1
7%
21.1
2/2
13%
5.29
2/X
8%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.39
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.8 Crosses 21.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.16 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
349 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
01.09.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 3-3 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
06.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.10.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
15.04.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 5-0 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
05.11.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
4-3
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.58 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
393 Passes 414
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg edged past Brommapojkarna 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Elfsborg had 50% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 50%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.58 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Elfsborg and 1.00 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Elfsborg 4-3 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 43%, draw 27%, Brommapojkarna 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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