IFK Varnamo 2-2 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 57%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.13/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.19
-7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.1
15.8 Crosses 21.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 502
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
15.04.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-4 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
31.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.06.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
09.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
21.04.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
2-2
AWAY Malmö FF
1.16 xG 2.16
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
218 Passes 505
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 56
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo and Malmö FF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 33% of the ball to Malmö FF's 67%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.16 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.83 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF?

IFK Varnamo 2-2 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 30%, draw 28%, Malmö FF 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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