Breidablik 1-2 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.9pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.60/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+0% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Vestri
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.48 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
480 Passes 243
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.07.2024 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
13.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-0 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
03.03.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
1-2
AWAY Vestri
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri squeezed past Breidablik 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Breidablik at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 67% of the ball to Vestri's 33%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Breidablik and 0.75 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Vestri?

Breidablik 1-2 Vestri in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 59%, draw 23%, Vestri 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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