Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 19%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.07
+13% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 6-1 HT 3-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
20.09.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-2 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
26.05.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 3-1 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-0
AWAY Hebar 1918
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia squeezed past Hebar 1918 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Septemvri Sofia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 47% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Septemvri Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.67 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 52%, draw 24%, Hebar 1918 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5
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