Al Raed 1-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 May 2025

Al Raed
1-3 HT 1-2
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
📅15/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Raed vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
53%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.7pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Raed v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 71%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.61/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.87
-62% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
11.7 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Al Raed vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 Passes 474
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.01.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
23.12.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
14.08.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
23.02.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
09.09.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
14.01.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD

Al Raed 1-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-3
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.78 xG 2.78
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
257 Passes 502
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah beat Al Raed 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Raed had 36% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 64%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.78 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Raed and 1.83 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Raed 1-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 22%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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