Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
16%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.20/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.92
-27% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
28.2 Crosses 11.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-3 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
28.10.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 1-2 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
31.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.10.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
11.05.2019 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-0 HT 2-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
06.10.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
3-1
AWAY Al Wehda
1.60 xG 0.90
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
521 Passes 240
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah saw off Al Wehda 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 66% of the ball to Al Wehda's 34%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wehda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.67 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Wehda?

Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 56%, draw 25%, Al Wehda 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Under 2.5
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