Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -63% / -63%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
242 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
22.06.2025 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
26.10.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 2-1 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Red Lions nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nanjing City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Qingdao Red Lions and 2.00 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City?

Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 27%, draw 28%, Nanjing City 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nanjing City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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