Aarau 2-2 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.96
Over
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
20%
6.58
2-3
41%
2.12
4-5
26%
2.34
6+
13%
4.46
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.58 — our 20% vs market 9.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon The Market 17%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
2.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.19
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.5 Crosses 12.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Yverdon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 2.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
278 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2026 Yverdon Yverdon 1-2 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
07.12.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 1-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
03.10.2025 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
23.05.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.02.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
04.11.2022 Aarau Aarau 3-2 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
2-2
AWAY Yverdon
2.28 xG 0.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
26 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
340 Passes 429
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
39 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Aarau vs Yverdon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aarau and Yverdon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Aarau at 61% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. Small consolation: at 1.37 (roughly 73%) the price was further off than we were. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Aarau had 46% of the ball to Yverdon's 54%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.28 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aarau and 1.50 for Yverdon.

Aarau vs Yverdon Result & Final Score

Aarau 2-2 Yverdon in the Switzerland Challenge League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aarau vs Yverdon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Aarau 61%, draw 19%, Yverdon 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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