Arabi 2-1 Gulf United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf United EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
2.07/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.30
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Gulf United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2026 Gulf United 2-3 HT 1-1 Arabi BAE2
10.05.2025 Gulf United 1-1 Arabi BAE2
11.01.2025 Arabi 3-1 Gulf United BAE2
26.01.2024 Gulf United 3-1 HT 2-0 Arabi BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
2-1
AWAY Gulf United
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi edged past Gulf United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arabi had 50% of the ball to Gulf United's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arabi and 1.75 for Gulf United.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Gulf United?

Arabi 2-1 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Gulf United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arabi 55%, draw 22%, Gulf United 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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