Maritimo 1-3 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 May 2026

Maritimo
1-3 HT 0-2
Chaves
📅15/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Maritimo vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maritimo v Chaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.41/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.35
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.2 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Maritimo vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chaves
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.01.2026 Chaves Chaves 2-3 HT 2-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
02.02.2025 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
25.08.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
05.02.2023 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 2-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
15.08.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
02.02.2019 Chaves Chaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR

Maritimo 1-3 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
1-3
AWAY Chaves
1.23 xG 2.06
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
410 Passes 191
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Maritimo vs Chaves
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chaves beat Maritimo 3-1 away from home in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15 May 2026. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Maritimo had 65% of the ball to Chaves's 35%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.23 to 2.06.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maritimo and 1.50 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Chaves?

Maritimo 1-3 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 50%, draw 23%, Chaves 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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