Al Taawon 1-1 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.63/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.78
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.0 Crosses 21.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.94 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
379 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.01.2026 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
20.05.2025 Al Taawon Al Taawon 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
21.01.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
09.05.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-1
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.97 xG 1.53
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
539 Passes 144
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon and Al Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Taawon at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Taawon had 73% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 27%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.97 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Al Taawon and 1.20 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?

Al Taawon 1-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 60%, draw 20%, Al Riyadh 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Taawon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
15 May 2026
19:15 Damac FC vs Al Fayha Analysis →