NWS Spirit 1-0 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
45%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
35%
+9.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.4pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.61/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.82
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.27 xG 2.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
265 Passes 382
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.03.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 4-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
27.08.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 3-3 HT 2-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
13.05.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney W. II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney W. II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.33 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Western Sydney W. II?

NWS Spirit 1-0 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 33%, draw 22%, Western Sydney W. II 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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