Avai vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avai v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals
Avai vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Guarani FC
BR2
4-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
4-0
HT 2-0
Avai
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Guarani FC
BR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Avai
BR2
Avai 3-2 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics
Avai squeezed past Guarani FC 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avai had 41% of the ball to Guarani FC's 59%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.48 to 1.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guarani FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avai and 2.33 for Guarani FC.
What was the final score of Avai vs Guarani FC?
Avai 3-2 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avai vs Guarani FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Avai 43%, draw 30%, Guarani FC 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.