Operario PR 1-0 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Jun 2024

Operario PR
1-0 HT 1-0
Santos
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Operario PR vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
5.51
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Operario PR v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.55
+24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.7 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Operario PR 1-0 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-0
AWAY Santos
0.52 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
242 Passes 257
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR squeezed past Santos 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Operario PR found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 47% of the ball to Santos's 53%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.52 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Santos?

Operario PR 1-0 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 33%, draw 27%, Santos 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
15 Jun 2024
03:00 Avai vs Guarani FC Analysis →
21:30 America Mineiro vs CRB Analysis →
23:00 Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino Analysis →