South Melbourne 2-1 Preston Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston Lions EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.42/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.57
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Preston Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.03.2025 Preston Lions Preston Lions 2-0 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs Preston Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne squeezed past Preston Lions 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; South Melbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

South Melbourne 2-1 Preston Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preston Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 33%, draw 28%, Preston Lions 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Preston Lions) ✗ Under 2.5
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