APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.53/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.70
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.49 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 4-3 HT 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
25.05.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 HT 1-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
17.02.2024 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 6-3 HT 3-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
29.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 1-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
16.04.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-4 HT 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.08.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-0 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNSW
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers edged past Blacktown City Demons 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 2.83 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 49%, draw 27%, Blacktown City Demons 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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