APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.59/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.88
-1% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 22.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 320
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 6-3 HT 3-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
29.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 1-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
16.04.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-4 HT 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.08.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-0 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNSW
12.06.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 0-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
26.03.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers got the better of Blacktown City Demons 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; APIA Leichhardt Tigers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 2.00 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 40%, draw 26%, Blacktown City Demons 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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