Newcastle Olympic 2-2 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
2.10/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.72
-9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Olympic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-3 HT 1-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
14.07.2024 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 0-0 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
22.05.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
08.07.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-1 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
24.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
05.07.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic and Valentine Phoenix couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Newcastle Olympic carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newcastle Olympic and 0.67 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine Phoenix?

Newcastle Olympic 2-2 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Olympic vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Olympic 58%, draw 19%, Valentine Phoenix 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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