Valentine Phoenix 1-3 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 61%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.07/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.11/0.99
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 0-0 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
22.05.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
08.07.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-1 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
24.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
05.07.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
29.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic got the better of Valentine Phoenix 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 1.17 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic?

Valentine Phoenix 1-3 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 27%, draw 24%, Newcastle Olympic 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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