Western Sydney W. II 2-3 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
56%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.43
No
54%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.6pp
56%
Away Win
50%
+5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.4pp
54%
BTTS No
34%
+19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 55%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.57/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.69
+13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -50%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY NWS Spirit
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.12 xG 2.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
382 Passes 265
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
09.03.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 4-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
27.08.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 3-3 HT 2-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
13.05.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney W. II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NWS Spirit as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 1.50 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs NWS Spirit?

Western Sydney W. II 2-3 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated an NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 27%, draw 17%, NWS Spirit 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NWS Spirit), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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