St. Albans Saints 1-4 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
52%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
52%
Away Win
57%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 61%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
0.61/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.63
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 15.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Avondale Heights
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.63 xG 2.64
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
116 Passes 446
57% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
18.02.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-2 HT 1-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
23.07.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-2 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
22.04.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
05.06.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-3 HT 0-3 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
05.03.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights cruised past St. Albans Saints 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.17 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights?

St. Albans Saints 1-4 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 25%, draw 23%, Avondale Heights 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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