Pacific FC 1-3 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +25%
1.64/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.60
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.0 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY York United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 349
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-1 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
24.10.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
11.10.2024 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
03.08.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
20.06.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
05.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
1-3
AWAY York United
0.61 xG 2.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
287 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United beat Pacific FC 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day York United made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pacific FC had 46% of the ball to York United's 54%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.61 to 2.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pacific FC and 1.17 for York United.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs York United?

Pacific FC 1-3 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 39%, draw 25%, York United 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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