Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 2-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington edged past New Mexico United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lexington found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lexington had 31% of the ball to New Mexico United's 69%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.02.
What was the final score of Lexington vs New Mexico United?
Lexington 2-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lexington 36%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.