Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Miami FC
USLP
3-1
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies edged past Miami FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 49% of the ball to Miami FC's 51%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.72 to 1.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Miami FC.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.67 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 49%, draw 22%, Miami FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.