Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies found just enough to beat Miami FC 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Miami FC saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.72 to 1.42 — by the quality of chances, Miami FC deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Tampa Bay Rowdies against 0.67 for Miami FC.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Result & Final Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 54%, draw 22%, Miami FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.