Rhode Island 2-1 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.28
-30% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.7 Crosses 14.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
1W-1D-0L
AWAY North Carolina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.93
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
424 Passes 277
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 2-1 HT 0-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
05.05.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
2-1
AWAY North Carolina
1.91 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
409 Passes 303
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island nicked a narrow win over North Carolina 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Rhode Island found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rhode Island had 56% of the ball to North Carolina's 44%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.91 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rhode Island and 0.50 for North Carolina.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs North Carolina?

Rhode Island 2-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 39%, draw 28%, North Carolina 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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