Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
Indy Eleven 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven squeezed past Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Indy Eleven found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 45% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 55%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.92 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.17 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Indy Eleven 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 40%, draw 29%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.