Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 15 Jun 2026

📅15/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.51
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.2pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.90/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.00
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2026 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 1-0 HT 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
20.04.2025 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 0-0 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie ETH
18.01.2025 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
2-0
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema saw off Shire Endaselassie 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Arba Minch Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 37% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 63%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arba Minch Kenema and 0.33 for Shire Endaselassie.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie?

Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 15/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arba Minch Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 37%, draw 34%, Shire Endaselassie 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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