Negele Arsi Ketema 2-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 15 Jun 2026

📅15/06/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.66
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.80/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.09
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.01.2026 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 2-0 HT 1-0 Negele Arsi Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
2-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negele Arsi Ketema nicked a narrow win over Awassa Kenema 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Negele Arsi Ketema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Negele Arsi Ketema had 42% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 58%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema?

Negele Arsi Ketema 2-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 15/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Negele Arsi Ketema 32%, draw 32%, Awassa Kenema 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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