Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 15 Jun 2026

📅15/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
39%
2.63
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
38%
Draw
35%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.78/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.97
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2026 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 HT 0-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
01.05.2025 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
11.01.2025 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
04.05.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 HT 1-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
15.12.2023 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-2 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0-1
AWAY Fasil Ketema
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema squeezed past Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 38% / 31%) promised a tight game; Fasil Ketema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 59% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 41%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fasil Ketema led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.20 for Fasil Ketema.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 15/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 30%, draw 38%, Fasil Ketema 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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