Awassa Kenema 2-0 Negele Arsi Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.61
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.29
No
69%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
32%
Draw
35%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.3pp
31%
BTTS Yes
40%
-8.7pp
69%
BTTS No
60%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.50
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +93%
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
279 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
2-0
AWAY Negele Arsi Ketema
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema saw off Negele Arsi Ketema 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Awassa Kenema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 35% of the ball to Negele Arsi Ketema's 65%, shots finished 4-12.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Awassa Kenema 2-0 Negele Arsi Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Negele Arsi Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 29%, draw 32%, Negele Arsi Ketema 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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