Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank v Adama City — Team-Based Signals
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-3 Adama City — Actual Match Statistics
Adama City nicked a narrow win over Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Adama City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 46% of the ball to Adama City's 54%, shots finished 3-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 1.00 for Adama City.
What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-3 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Adama City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 32%, draw 34%, Adama City 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.