Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Sheger Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
25%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheger Ketema EU Bookmakers 38%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.70/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-1
AWAY Sheger Ketema
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Sheger Ketema shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 48% of the ball to Sheger Ketema's 52%, shots finished 3-10.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Sheger Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheger Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 29%, draw 33%, Sheger Ketema 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sheger Ketema), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheger Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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