Greenock Morton 3-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 20%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.18/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.82
+2% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
21.07.2018 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
01.07.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-3 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton HAZ
11.04.2015 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-2 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
10.01.2015 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-3 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İK1
22.11.2014 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
27.09.2014 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İK1
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton cruised past Stenhousemuir 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greenock Morton as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Stenhousemuir?

Greenock Morton 3-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - League Cup on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 59%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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