Cork City 2-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 15 Aug 2025

📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.16
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
31%
3.78
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.65
X/2
12%
5.48
X/X
11%
4.74
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
8%
3.61
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.78 — our 31% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
37%
+15.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
37%
-11.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.15/0.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.66
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
216 Passes 266
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.07.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
21.04.2025 Cork City Cork City 2-1 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
10.11.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
21.08.2023 Cork City Cork City 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
09.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
2-1
AWAY Waterford FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City edged past Waterford FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cork City had 50% of the ball to Waterford FC's 50%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cork City and 1.33 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Waterford FC?

Cork City 2-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cork City 52%, draw 23%, Waterford FC 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cork City)
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